Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning October 01

Indicator
Weekly Level / Change
Implication for
S & P 500
Implication for Nifty*
S & P 500
2914, -0.54%
Bearish
Bearish
Nifty
10931, -1.91%
Neutral **
Bearish
China Shanghai Index
2821, 0.85%
Bullish
Bullish
Gold
1196, -0.42%
Neutral
Neutral
WTIC Crude
73.25, 3.49%
Bullish
Bullish
Copper
2.81, -1.84%
Bearish
Bearish
Baltic Dry Index
1540, 8.99%
Bullish
Bullish
Euro
1.1596, -1.41%
Bearish
Bearish
Dollar/Yen
113.65, 0.98%
Bullish
Bullish
Dow Transports
11379, -1.33%
Bearish
Bearish
High Yield (ETF)
36.05, 0.19%
Neutral
Neutral
US 10 year Bond Yield
3.06%, -0.39%
Neutral
Neutral
Nyse Summation Index
227, -36.85%
Bearish
Neutral
US Vix
12.12, 3.77%
Bearish
Bearish
Skew
144
Bearish
Bearish
20 DMA, S and P 500
2902, Above
Bullish
Neutral
50 DMA, S and P 500
2868, Above
Bullish
Neutral
200 DMA, S and P 500
2757, Above
Bullish
Neutral
20 DMA, Nifty
11335, Below
Neutral
Bearish
50 DMA, Nifty
11345, Below
Neutral
Bearish
200 DMA, Nifty
10771, Above
Neutral
Bullish
India Vix
17.00, 9.40%
Neutral
Bearish
Dollar/Rupee
72.50, 0.41%
Neutral
Neutral
Overall
S & P 500
Nifty
Bullish Indications
7
5
Bearish Indications
7
9
Outlook
Neutral
Bearish
Observation
The S and P 500 and the Nifty were down
last week. Indicators are mixed.
The markets are likely topping out.
Watch those stops.
On the Horizon
Australia
RBA rate decision, Canada – Employment data, US – Employment data, India RBI rate decision
*Nifty
India’s Benchmark Stock Market Index
Raw Data
Courtesy Google finance, Stock
charts, investing.com
**Neutral
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral

stock market signals october 01

The S and
P 500 and the Nifty were down last week. Indicators are
mixed for the upcoming week. Looking for significant under performance
in the Nifty going forward on rapidly deteriorating macros. This rally is close
to another major top in key asset
classes which has already formed in the Euro and commodities amidst a number of
bearish divergences. This is going to be followed by a massive selloff and most
likely a deflationary collapse. Quantitative tightening by the FED is yet to be
priced in fully. The markets are still trading well over 3 standard deviations
above their long term averages from which corrections usually result. Tail risk
is also very high. The critical levels to watch for the week are 2925 (up) and 2905 (down) on the S
& P
 500 and 11000
(up) and 10850 (down)
 on the Nifty. A significant breach
of the above levels could trigger the next big move in the above markets. You
can check out last week’s 
report for a comparison.
Love your thoughts and feedback.

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Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning September 24

Indicator
Weekly Level / Change
Implication for
S & P 500
Implication for Nifty*
S & P 500
2930, 0.85%
Bullish
Bullish
Nifty
11143, -3.23%
Neutral **
Bearish
China Shanghai Index
2798, 4.32%
Bullish
Bullish
Gold
1201, 0.02%
Neutral
Neutral
WTIC Crude
70.78, 2.59%
Bullish
Bullish
Copper
2.86, 7.99%
Bullish
Bullish
Baltic Dry Index
1413, 3.44%
Bullish
Bullish
Euro
1.1762, 1.19%
Bullish
Bullish
Dollar/Yen
112.54, 0.49%
Neutral
Neutral
Dow Transports
11533, -0.33%
Neutral
Neutral
High Yield (ETF)
35.98, -0.11%
Neutral
Neutral
US 10 year Bond Yield
3.07%, 2.47%
Bearish
Bearish
Nyse Summation Index
359, -15.40%
Bearish
Neutral
US Vix
11.68, -3.23%
Bullish
Bullish
Skew
142
Bearish
Bearish
20 DMA, S and P 500
2897, Above
Bullish
Neutral
50 DMA, S and P 500
2857, Above
Bullish
Neutral
200 DMA, S and P 500
2750, Above
Bullish
Neutral
20 DMA, Nifty
11499, Below
Neutral
Bearish
50 DMA, Nifty
11342, Below
Neutral
Bearish
200 DMA, Nifty
10749, Above
Neutral
Bullish
India Vix
15.53, 12.23%
Neutral
Bearish
Dollar/Rupee
72.20, 0.21%
Neutral
Neutral
Overall
S & P 500
Nifty
Bullish Indications
10
7
Bearish Indications
3
6
Outlook
Bullish
Bullish
Observation
The S and P 500 was up and the Nifty was
down last week. Indicators are bullish.
The markets are likely topping out.
Watch those stops.
On the Horizon
New Zealand
RBNZ rate decision, Euro Zone – German employment data, CPI,
UK – GDP, Canada – GDP, US – FOMC
rate decision
*Nifty
India’s Benchmark Stock Market Index
Raw Data
Courtesy Google finance, Stock
charts, investing.com
**Neutral
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral

stock market signals september 24

The S and
P 500 was up and the Nifty was significantly down last week. Indicators are
bullish for the upcoming week. Looking for significant under performance
in the Nifty going forward on rapidly deteriorating macros. This rally is close
to another major top in key asset
classes which has already formed in the Euro and commodities. This is going to
be followed by a massive selloff and most likely a deflationary collapse. Quantitative
tightening by the FED is yet to be priced in fully. The markets are still
trading well over 3 standard deviations above their long term averages from which
corrections usually result. Tail risk is also very high. The critical levels to
watch for the week are 2940
(up) and 2920 (down)
 on the S & P 500 and 11250 (up) and 11050 (down) on
the Nifty. A significant breach of the above levels could trigger
the next big move in the above markets. You can check out last week’s 
report for a comparison.
Love your thoughts and feedback.

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Mid Week Market Insight

The US markets continue to out perform amidst glaring divergences and sky high valuations. Emerging markets continue to sell off despite recent dollar weakness. This weeks report focuses on key developments in global stock markets from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT’s of today:

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Mid Week Market Insight

The US markets continue to out perform amidst glaring divergences and sky high valuations. Emerging markets continue to sell off despite recent dollar weakness. This weeks report focuses on key developments in global stock markets from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT’s of today:

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Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning September 17

Indicator
Weekly Level / Change
Implication for
S & P 500
Implication for Nifty*
S & P 500
2905, 1.16%
Bullish
Bullish
Nifty
11515, -0.64%
Neutral **
Bearish
China Shanghai Index
2862, -0.76%
Bearish
Bearish
Gold
1201, 0.06%
Neutral
Neutral
WTIC Crude
68.99, 1.83%
Bullish
Bullish
Copper
2.65, 0.90%
Bullish
Bullish
Baltic Dry Index
1366, -8.32%
Bearish
Bearish
Euro
1.1624, 0.46%
Neutral
Neutral
Dollar/Yen
111.99, 0.93%
Bullish
Bullish
Dow Transports
11571, 1.97%
Bullish
Bullish
High Yield (ETF)
36.02, 0.73%
Bullish
Bullish
US 10 year Bond Yield
2.99%, 1.77%
Bearish
Bearish
Nyse Summation Index
425, -19.20%
Bearish
Neutral
US Vix
12.07, -18.88%
Bullish
Bullish
Skew
152
Bearish
Bearish
20 DMA, S and P 500
2884, Above
Bullish
Neutral
50 DMA, S and P 500
2844, Above
Bullish
Neutral
200 DMA, S and P 500
2744, Above
Bullish
Neutral
20 DMA, Nifty
11546, Below
Neutral
Bearish
50 DMA, Nifty
11305, Above
Neutral
Bullish
200 DMA, Nifty
10730, Above
Neutral
Bullish
India Vix
13.84, -0.34%
Neutral
Neutral
Dollar/Rupee
72.05, 0.01%
Neutral
Neutral
Overall
S & P 500
Nifty
Bullish Indications
10
9
Bearish Indications
6
6
Outlook
Bullish
Bullish
Observation
The S and P 500 was up and the Nifty was
down last week. Indicators are bullish.
The markets are confirming secondary
tops. Watch those stops.
On the Horizon
Japan – BOJ rate decision, New Zealand GDP, Euro Zone – CPI,
UK – CPI, Canada – CPI, Switzerland
– SNB rate decision
*Nifty
India’s Benchmark Stock Market Index
Raw Data
Courtesy Google finance, Stock
charts, investing.com
**Neutral
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral

stock market signals september 17

The S and
P 500 was up and the Nifty was down last week. Indicators are
bullish for the upcoming week. This rally is close to a major secondary top in key asset
classes which has already formed in the Euro and commodities. This is going to
be followed by a massive selloff most likely a deflationary collapse. Quantitative
tightening by the FED is yet to be priced in fully. The markets are still
trading well over 3 standard deviations above their long term averages from which
corrections usually result. Tail risk is also very high. The critical levels to
watch for the week are 2915
(up) and 2895 (down)
 on the S & P 500 and 11600 (up) and 11400 (down) on
the Nifty. A significant breach of the above levels could trigger
the next big move in the above markets. You can check out last week’s 
report for a comparison.
Love your thoughts and feedback.

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Mid Week Market Insight

Some interesting moves in the commodity markets off late. The precious market complex is still languishing near its recent lows while crude oil is near its recent highs. This weeks report focuses on key developments in global commodity markets from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT’s of today:

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Mid Week Market Insight

Some interesting moves in the commodity markets off late. The precious market complex is still languishing near its recent lows while crude oil is near its recent highs. This weeks report focuses on key developments in global commodity markets from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT’s of today:

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Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning September 10

Indicator
Weekly Level / Change
Implication for
S & P 500
Implication for Nifty*
S & P 500
2872, -1.03%
Bearish
Bearish
Nifty
11589, -0.78%
Neutral **
Bearish
China Shanghai Index
2702, -0.84%
Bearish
Bearish
Gold
1200, -0.52%
Bearish
Bearish
WTIC Crude
67.75, -2.94%
Bearish
Bearish
Copper
2.62, -1.82%
Bearish
Bearish
Baltic Dry Index
1490, -5.64%
Bearish
Bearish
Euro
1.1571, -0.36%
Neutral
Neutral
Dollar/Yen
110.96, -0.13%
Neutral
Neutral
Dow Transports
11348, 0.39%
Neutral
Neutral
High Yield (ETF)
35.76, -0.19%
Neutral
Neutral
US 10 year Bond Yield
2.94%, 3.12%
Bearish
Bearish
Nyse Summation Index
525, -17.75%
Bearish
Neutral
US Vix
14.88, 15.71%
Bearish
Bearish
Skew
146
Bearish
Bearish
20 DMA, S and P 500
2868, Above
Bullish
Neutral
50 DMA, S and P 500
2827, Above
Bullish
Neutral
200 DMA, S and P 500
2736, Above
Bullish
Neutral
20 DMA, Nifty
11550, Above
Neutral
Bullish
50 DMA, Nifty
11246, Above
Neutral
Bullish
200 DMA, Nifty
10709, Above
Neutral
Bullish
India Vix
13.89, 10.26%
Neutral
Bearish
Dollar/Rupee
72.05, 1.79%
Neutral
Bearish
Overall
S & P 500
Nifty
Bullish Indications
3
3
Bearish Indications
10
12
Outlook
Bearish
Bearish
Observation
The S and P 500 was and the Nifty were
down last week. Indicators are bearish.
The markets are confirming secondary
tops. Watch those stops.
On the Horizon
Japan – GDP, AustraliaEmployment data, GDP, U.S – PPI, CPI, Euro Zone – ECB rate decision, UK – GDP, Employment data, BOE rate
decision, Russia – Rate decision
*Nifty
India’s Benchmark Stock Market Index
Raw Data
Courtesy Google finance, Stock
charts, investing.com
**Neutral
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral

stock market signals september 10

The S and
P 500 and the Nifty were down last week. Indicators are
bearish for the upcoming week. This rally is close to a major secondary top in key asset
classes which has already formed in the Euro and commodities. This is going to
be followed by a massive selloff most likely a deflationary collapse. Quantitative
tightening by the FED is yet to be priced in fully. The markets are still trading
well over 3 standard deviations above their long term averages from which
corrections usually result. Tail risk is also very high. The critical levels to
watch for the week are 2885
(up) and 2860 (down)
 on the S & P 500 and 11700 (up) and 11500 (down) on
the Nifty. A significant breach of the above levels could trigger
the next big move in the above markets. You can check out last week’s 
report for a comparison.
Love your thoughts and feedback.

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Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning September 03

Indicator
Weekly Level / Change
Implication for
S & P 500
Implication for Nifty*
S & P 500
2902, 0.93%
Bullish
Neutral
Nifty
11681, 1.07%
Neutral **
Bullish
China Shanghai Index
2725, -0.15%
Neutral
Neutral
Gold
1207, -0.54%
Bearish
Bearish
WTIC Crude
69.80, 1.57%
Bullish
Bullish
Copper
2.67, -1.09%
Bearish
Bearish
Baltic Dry Index
1579, -6.95%
Bearish
Bearish
Euro
1.1612, -0.07%
Neutral
Neutral
Dollar/Yen
111.09, -0.07%
Neutral
Neutral
Dow Transports
11304, 0.17%
Neutral
Neutral
High Yield (ETF)
35.83, -0.03%
Neutral
Neutral
US 10 year Bond Yield
2.85%, 0.96%
Bearish
Bearish
Nyse Summation Index
639, 14.20%
Bullish
Neutral
US Vix
12.86, 7.26%
Bearish
Bearish
Skew
147
Bearish
Bearish
20 DMA, S and P 500
2863, Above
Bullish
Neutral
50 DMA, S and P 500
2815, Above
Bullish
Neutral
200 DMA, S and P 500
2730, Above
Bullish
Neutral
20 DMA, Nifty
11506, Above
Neutral
Bullish
50 DMA, Nifty
11167, Above
Neutral
Bullish
200 DMA, Nifty
10676, Above
Neutral
Bullish
India Vix
12.60, 1.53%
Neutral
Bearish
Dollar/Rupee
70.78, 1.48%
Neutral
Bearish
Overall
S & P 500
Nifty
Bullish Indications
6
5
Bearish Indications
6
8
Outlook
Neutral
Bearish
Observation
The S and P 500 was and the Nifty were
up last week. Indicators are mixed.
The markets are close to making
secondary tops. Watch those stops.
On the Horizon
Australia – RBA rate decision, GDP, U.S – Employment data, Canada – BOC rate decision, Employment
data
*Nifty
India’s Benchmark Stock Market Index
Raw Data
Courtesy Google finance, Stock charts,
investing.com
**Neutral
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral

stock market signals september 03

The S and
P 500 and the Nifty were up last week. Indicators are
mixed for the upcoming week. This rally is close to a major secondary top in key asset
classes which has already formed in the Euro and commodities. This is going to
be followed by a massive selloff most likely a deflationary collapse. Quantitative
tightening by the FED is yet to be priced in fully. The markets are still
trading well over 3 standard deviations above their long term averages from which
corrections usually result. Tail risk is also very high. The critical levels to
watch for the week are 2915
(up) and 2890 (down)
 on the S & P 500 and 11750 (up) and 11600 (down) on
the Nifty. A significant breach of the above levels could trigger
the next big move in the above markets. You can check out last week’s 
report for a comparison.
Love your thoughts and feedback.

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Mid Week Market Insight

Markets are at record highs. Valuations appear to be stretched. Here is the latest on valuations from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT’s of today:

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