Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning July 16

Indicator
Weekly Level / Change
Implication for
S & P 500
Implication for Nifty*
S & P 500
2801, 1.50%
Bullish
Bullish
Nifty
11019, 2.29%
Neutral **
Bullish
China Shanghai Index
2831, 3.06%
Bullish
Bullish
Gold
1241, -1.16%
Bearish
Bearish
WTIC Crude
71.01, -3.78%
Bearish
Bearish
Copper
2.78, -1.72%
Bearish
Bearish
Baltic Dry Index
1632, 1.24%
Bullish
Bullish
Euro
1.1693, -0.49%
Neutral
Neutral
Dollar/Yen
112.33, 1.75%
Bullish
Bullish
Dow Transports
10546, 0.69%
Bullish
Bullish
High Yield (ETF)
35.69, 0.37%
Neutral
Neutral
US 10 year Bond Yield
2.83%, 0.00%
Neutral
Neutral
Nyse Summation Index
676, 17.25%
Bullish
Neutral
US Vix
12.18, -8.90%
Bullish
Bullish
Skew
143
Bearish
Bearish
20 DMA, S and P 500
2753, Above
Bullish
Neutral
50 DMA, S and P 500
2737, Above
Bullish
Neutral
200 DMA, S and P 500
2681, Above
Bullish
Neutral
20 DMA, Nifty
10790, Above
Neutral
Bullish
50 DMA, Nifty
10733, Above
Neutral
Bullish
200 DMA, Nifty
10478, Above
Neutral
Bullish
India Vix
12.30, -1.13%
Neutral
Bullish
Dollar/Rupee
68.48, -0.39%
Neutral
Neutral
Overall
S & P 500
Nifty
Bullish Indications
10
11
Bearish Indications
4
4
Outlook
Bullish
Bullish
Observation
The S and P 500 and the Nifty rallied
last week. Indicators are bullish.
The markets are close to making
secondary tops. Watch those stops.
On the Horizon
China – GDP, Australia – Employment data, New Zealand – CPI, Europe
– CPI, U.K – Employment data, CPI, Retail sales, U.S
 – Retail
sales, Canada – CPI, Retail sales
*Nifty
India’s Benchmark Stock Market Index
Raw Data
Courtesy Google finance, Stock
charts, investing.com
**Neutral
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral

stock market signals july 16

The S and
P 500 and the Nifty rallied last week. Indicators are bullish for the upcoming
week. This rally is close to a major
secondary top
in key asset classes near 2830 on the S and P, 1.20 on the Euro and 11, 100 on the Nifty. Quantitative
tightening by the FED is yet to be priced in fully. The markets are still
trading well over 3 standard deviations above their long term averages from which
corrections usually result. The critical levels to watch for the week are 2810 (up) and 2790
(down)
 on the S & P and 11100 (up) and 10900
(down)
 on the Nifty. A significant breach of the above
levels could trigger the next big move in the above markets. You can check out
last week’s 
report for a comparison.
Love your thoughts and feedback.

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Mid Week Market Insight

Trump fires yet another salvo in the trade war with China, which should guarantee a recession down the line given all the curve flattening of late. Turkish bonds, lira and stock market still in free fall. A massive collapse in base metals like copper adding to the recessionary case down the line.These and other stories from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT’s of today:

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Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning July 09

Indicator
Weekly Level / Change
Implication for
S & P 500
Implication for Nifty*
S & P 500
2760, 1.52%
Bullish
Bullish
Nifty
10773, 0.54%
Neutral **
Bullish
China Shanghai Index
2747, -3.52%
Bearish
Bearish
Gold
1256, 0.10%
Neutral
Neutral
WTIC Crude
73.80, -0.47%
Neutral
Neutral
Copper
2.82, -4.79%
Bearish
Bearish
Baltic Dry Index
1612, 21.29%
Bullish
Bullish
Euro
1.1750, 0.47%
Neutral
Neutral
Dollar/Yen
110.41, -0.18%
Neutral
Neutral
Dow Transports
10474, 1.25%
Bullish
Bullish
High Yield (ETF)
35.56, 0.70%
Bullish
Bullish
US 10 year Bond Yield
2.83%, -0.63%
Bullish
Bullish
Nyse Summation Index
577, 6.62%
Bullish
Neutral
US Vix
13.37, -16.90%
Bullish
Bullish
Skew
141
Bearish
Bearish
20 DMA, S and P 500
2750, Above
Bullish
Neutral
50 DMA, S and P 500
2724, Above
Bullish
Neutral
200 DMA, S and P 500
2674, Above
Bullish
Neutral
20 DMA, Nifty
10756, Above
Neutral
Bullish
50 DMA, Nifty
10706, Above
Neutral
Bullish
200 DMA, Nifty
10456, Above
Neutral
Bullish
India Vix
12.44, -3.83%
Neutral
Bullish
Dollar/Rupee
68.75, 0.45%
Neutral
Neutral
Overall
S & P 500
Nifty
Bullish Indications
10
11
Bearish Indications
3
3
Outlook
Bullish
Bullish
Observation
The S and P 500 and the Nifty rallied
last week. Indicators are bullish.
The markets are about to make
secondary tops.
On the Horizon
U.S – PPI, CPI, Canada – BOC rate decision
*Nifty
India’s Benchmark Stock Market Index
Raw Data
Courtesy Google finance, Stock
charts, investing.com
**Neutral
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral

stock market signals july 09

The S and
P 500 and the Nifty rallied last week. Indicators are bullish for the upcoming
week. This rally should lead to a major
secondary top
in key asset classes near 2830 on the S and P, 1.20 on the Euro and 11, 100 on the Nifty. Quantitative
tightening by the FED is yet to be priced in fully. The markets are still
trading well over 3 standard deviations above their long term averages from which
corrections usually result. The critical levels to watch for the week are 2770 (up) and 2750
(down)
 on the S & P and 10900 (up) and 10700
(down)
 on the Nifty. A significant breach of the above
levels could trigger the next big move in the above markets. You can check out
last week’s 
report for
a comparison. Love your thoughts and feedback.

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Mid Week Market Insight

More trouble in emerging market land. Massive curve flattening across the globe. China free fall continues. These and other stories from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT’s of today:

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Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning July 02

Indicator
Weekly Level / Change
Implication for
S & P 500
Implication for Nifty*
S & P 500
2718, -1.33%
Bearish
Bearish
Nifty
10714, -0.99%
Neutral **
Bearish
China Shanghai Index
2847, -1.47%
Bearish
Bearish
Gold
1255, -1.27%
Bearish
Bearish
WTIC Crude
74.15, 8.12%
Bullish
Bullish
Copper
2.97, -2.02%
Bearish
Bearish
Baltic Dry Index
1329, -1.34%
Bearish
Bearish
Euro
1.1694, 0.28%
Neutral
Neutral
Dollar/Yen
110.61, 0.58%
Bullish
Bullish
Dow Transports
10345, -3.97%
Bearish
Bearish
High Yield (ETF)
35.48, -1.06%
Bearish
Bearish
US 10 year Bond Yield
2.85%, -1.76%
Bullish
Bullish
Nyse Summation Index
541, -22.35%
Bearish
Neutral
US Vix
16.09, 16.85%
Bearish
Bearish
Skew
142
Bearish
Bearish
20 DMA, S and P 500
2755, Below
Bearish
Neutral
50 DMA, S and P 500
2717, Above
Bullish
Neutral
200 DMA, S and P 500
2669, Above
Bullish
Neutral
20 DMA, Nifty
10745, Below
Neutral
Bearish
50 DMA, Nifty
10692, Above
Neutral
Bullish
200 DMA, Nifty
10440, Above
Neutral
Bullish
India Vix
12.94, 7.61%
Neutral
Bearish
Dollar/Rupee
68.44, 0.87%
Neutral
Bearish
Overall
S & P 500
Nifty
Bullish Indications
5
4
Bearish Indications
11
13
Outlook
Bearish
Bearish
Observation
The S and P 500 and the Nifty fell
last week. Indicators are bearish.
The markets have made important tops.
Time to watch those stops.
On the Horizon
U.S – CPI, Canada – BOC rate decision
*Nifty
India’s Benchmark Stock Market Index
Raw Data
Courtesy Google finance, Stock
charts, investing.com
**Neutral
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral

stock market signals july 02

The S and
P 500 and the Nifty fell last week. Indicators are bearish for the upcoming
week. Quantitative tightening by the FED is yet to be priced in fully. The
markets are still trading well over 3 standard deviations above their long term
averages from which corrections usually result. The recent yield spike and
dollar strength should limit upside in the short term. High yield is diverging
from the oil price and so are transports from the major indices. The critical
levels to watch are 2730 (up) and 2705 (down) on the S
& P
 and 10800 (up) and 10600 (down) on the Nifty.
A significant breach of the above levels could trigger the next big move in the
above markets. You can check out last week’s 
report for
a comparison. Love your thoughts and feedback.

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Mid Week Market Insight

China in absolute free fall and the collapse in the yuan is putting pressure on risk assets across the globe. While growth seems to be holding up in the US it is collapsing everywhere else and just a matter of time before the malaise spreads to the US. The emerging market currency rout continues. This and other stories from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT’s of today:

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Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning June 25

Indicator
Weekly Level / Change
Implication for
S & P 500
Implication for Nifty*
S & P 500
2755, -0.89%
Bearish
Bearish
Nifty
10822, 0.04%
Neutral **
Neutral
China Shanghai Index
2890, -4.37%
Bearish
Bearish
Gold
1271, -0.61%
Bearish
Bearish
WTIC Crude
68.58, 5.41%
Bullish
Bullish
Copper
3.03, -3.74%
Bearish
Bearish
Baltic Dry Index
1347, -6.00%
Bearish
Bearish
Euro
1.1661, 0.39%
Neutral
Neutral
Dollar/Yen
109.97, -0.59%
Bearish
Bearish
Dow Transports
10773, -2.72%
Bearish
Bearish
High Yield (ETF)
35.86, -0.25%
Neutral
Neutral
US 10 year Bond Yield
2.90%, -0.82%
Bullish
Bullish
Nyse Summation Index
697, -6.20%
Bearish
Neutral
US Vix
13.77, 14.94%
Bearish
Bearish
Skew
141
Bearish
Bearish
20 DMA, S and P 500
2755, At
Neutral
Neutral
50 DMA, S and P 500
2715, Above
Bullish
Neutral
200 DMA, S and P 500
2663, Above
Bullish
Neutral
20 DMA, Nifty
10738, Above
Neutral
Bullish
50 DMA, Nifty
10675, Above
Neutral
Bullish
200 DMA, Nifty
10421, Above
Neutral
Bullish
India Vix
12.02, -0.39%
Neutral
Neutral
Dollar/Rupee
67.85, -0.45%
Neutral
Neutral
Overall
S & P 500
Nifty
Bullish Indications
4
5
Bearish Indications
10
9
Outlook
Bearish
Bearish
Observation
The S and P 500 fell and the Nifty was
relatively unchanged last week. Indicators are bearish.
The markets have made important tops.
Time to watch those stops.
On the Horizon
New Zealand – RBNZ rate
decision, UK– GDP, U.S – GDP, Canada – GDP, Euro zone – German employment data, CPI
*Nifty
India’s Benchmark Stock Market Index
Raw Data
Courtesy Google finance, Stock
charts, investing.com
**Neutral
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral

stock market signals june 25
  
The S and
P 500 fell and the Nifty was mostly unchanged last week. Indicators are bearish
for the upcoming week. Quantitative tightening by the FED is yet to be priced
in fully. The markets are still trading well over 3 standard deviations above
their long term averages from which corrections usually result. The recent
yield spike and dollar strength should limit upside in the short term. The
critical levels to watch are 2765 (up) and 2745 (down) on
the S & P and 10900 (up) and 10700 (down) on
the Nifty. A significant breach of the above levels could trigger the
next big move in the above markets. You can check out last week’s 
report for
a comparison. Love your thoughts and feedback.

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Mid Week Market Insight

Emerging markets still looking pretty wobbly. A global trade war has begun in earnest. Valuations still at peak levels. China looks flat out disastrous. Here’s all this and more from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT’s of today:

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Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning June 18

Indicator
Weekly Level / Change
Implication for
S & P 500
Implication for Nifty*
S & P 500
2780, 0.02%
Neutral
Neutral
Nifty
10818, 0.46%
Neutral **
Neutral
China Shanghai Index
3022, -1.48%
Bearish
Bearish
Gold
1279, -1.86%
Bearish
Bearish
WTIC Crude
65.06, -1.03%
Bearish
Bearish
Copper
3.14, -4.71%
Bearish
Bearish
Baltic Dry Index
1433, 2.72%
Bullish
Bullish
Euro
1.1617, -1.37%
Bearish
Bearish
Dollar/Yen
110.62, 1.08%
Bullish
Bullish
Dow Transports
11074, 1.24%
Bullish
Bullish
High Yield (ETF)
35.95, 0.56%
Bullish
Bullish
US 10 year Bond Yield
2.92%, -0.44%
Neutral
Neutral
Nyse Summation Index
743, 7.87%
Bullish
Neutral
US Vix
11.98, -1.64%
Bullish
Bullish
Skew
141
Bearish
Bearish
20 DMA, S and P 500
2747, Above
Bullish
Neutral
50 DMA, S and P 500
2702, Above
Bullish
Neutral
200 DMA, S and P 500
2656, Above
Bullish
Neutral
20 DMA, Nifty
10676, Above
Neutral
Bullish
50 DMA, Nifty
10638, Above
Neutral
Bullish
200 DMA, Nifty
10399, Above
Neutral
Bullish
India Vix
12.07, -4.94%
Neutral
Bullish
Dollar/Rupee
68.16, 0.96%
Neutral
Bearish
Overall
S & P 500
Nifty
Bullish Indications
9
9
Bearish Indications
6
7
Outlook
Bullish
Bullish
Observation
The S and P 500 and the Nifty were
relatively unchanged last week. Indicators are bullish.
The markets have made important tops.
Time to watch those stops.
On the Horizon
Australia – RBA meeting
minutes, New Zealand – GDP, UK
BOE rate decision, U.S – Crude oil inventories, Canada – CPI, Switzerland –
SNB Rate decision
*Nifty
India’s Benchmark Stock Market Index
Raw Data
Courtesy Google finance, Stock
charts, investing.com
**Neutral
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral

stock market signals june 18 

The S and
P 500 and the Nifty were mostly unchanged last week. Indicators are bullish for
the upcoming week. Quantitative tightening by the FED is yet to be priced in
fully. The markets are still trading well over 3 standard deviations above
their long term averages from which corrections usually result. The recent
yield spike and dollar strength should limit upside in the short term. The
critical levels to watch are 2790 (up) and 2770 (down) on
the S & P and 10900 (up) and 10700 (down) on
the Nifty. A significant breach of the above levels could trigger
the next big move in the above markets. You can check out last week’s 
report for
a comparison. Love your thoughts and feedback.

via Blogger https://ift.tt/2tfUQEO

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Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning June 11

Indicator
Weekly Level / Change
Implication for
S & P 500
Implication for Nifty*
S & P 500
2779, 1.62%
Bullish
Bullish
Nifty
10768, 0.67%
Neutral **
Bullish
China Shanghai Index
3067, -0.26%
Neutral
Neutral
Gold
1303, 0.26%
Neutral
Neutral
WTIC Crude
65.74, -0.11%
Neutral
Neutral
Copper
3.30, 6.50%
Bullish
Bullish
Baltic Dry Index
1395, 27.98%
Bullish
Bullish
Euro
1.1778, 0.96%
Bullish
Bullish
Dollar/Yen
109.43, -0.08%
Neutral
Neutral
Dow Transports
10939, 0.41%
Neutral
Neutral
High Yield (ETF)
35.75, 0.68%
Bullish
Bullish
US 10 year Bond Yield
2.94%, 1.45%
Bearish
Bearish
Nyse Summation Index
688, 32.48%
Bullish
Neutral
US Vix
12.18, -9.51%
Bullish
Bullish
Skew
133
Neutral
Neutral
20 DMA, S and P 500
2732, Above
Bullish
Neutral
50 DMA, S and P 500
2687, Above
Bullish
Neutral
200 DMA, S and P 500
2647, Above
Bullish
Neutral
20 DMA, Nifty
10652, Above
Neutral
Bullish
50 DMA, Nifty
10576, Above
Neutral
Bullish
200 DMA, Nifty
10374, Above
Neutral
Bullish
India Vix
12.70, -6.43%
Neutral
Bullish
Dollar/Rupee
67.51, 0.87%
Neutral
Bearish
Overall
S & P 500
Nifty
Bullish Indications
10
10
Bearish Indications
1
2
Outlook
Bullish
Bullish
Observation
The S and P 500 and the Nifty rallied
last week. Indicators are bullish.
The markets have made important tops.
Time to watch those stops.
On the Horizon
Australia – Employment
data, Japan – BOJ rate decision, UK– Employment data,
CPI, Retail sales, Euro – ECB rate decision, CPI, U.S –
CPI, PPI, FOMC rate decision, Crude oil inventories, Retail sales, Russia –
Rate decision
*Nifty
India’s Benchmark Stock Market Index
Raw Data
Courtesy Google finance, Stock
charts, investing.com
**Neutral
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral

stock market signals june 11
The S and
P 500 and the Nifty were up last week. Indicators are bullish for the upcoming
week. Quantitative tightening by the FED is yet to be priced in fully. The
markets are still trading well over 3 standard deviations above their long term
averages from which corrections usually result. The recent yield spike and
dollar strength should limit upside in the short term. The critical levels to
watch are 2790 (up) and 2770 (down) on the S & P and 10850
(up) and 10700 (down)
 on the Nifty. A significant breach
of the above levels could trigger the next big move in the above markets. You
can check out last week’s 
report for
a comparison. Love your thoughts and feedback.

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